2025-26 Big Eight Football Forecast

The latest rankings and odds for Wisconsin’s Big Eight high school football conference, calculated using our CHEsS system.

About the forecasts

• 🔃 November 2nd, 10:00 PM: Our ratings have been frozen for this year as both Middleton and Verona lost in level two of the playoffs.

• Created by Henry Riley

• Game probabilities for the current week of the season will be publicly available for free, but probabilities for future weeks will remain paywalled. Rankings will always be free.

• Playoff games are treated as normal games in the model, so the further a team goes in the playoffs, the higher their rating can go. (The conventional wisdom here is that the further you make it in the bracket, the better you are anyways)

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Madison Memorial Playoff Eligibility Tracker

Memorial (3-5) did not make the playoffs. To earn a spot in the WIAA D1 Playoffs, they needed…

1. To beat Madison La Follette (2-6, 54% chance of VPM win) - 49-7 ✅

2. Ashwaubenon (3-5) to win @ Green Bay Preble (4-4) - 24-14 ✅

3. Marshfield (4-4) to win vs. Stevens Point (5-3) - 32-30 ✅

4. Menominee (3-5) to win vs. Chippewa Falls (4-4) - 6-36 ❌

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Forecasts for the entire season of conference games are available below for paid subscribers.